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  #1  
Old 01-28-2010, 02:56 PM
Bump34 Bump34 is offline
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Default Baseball Prospectus pick Sox 2nd!!!
BP has the Twins winning 82 games to win AL Central... the White Sox are 2nd with 79...
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  #2  
Old 01-28-2010, 02:58 PM
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Okay, fasten your seatbelts, here we go!
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Old 01-28-2010, 02:58 PM
DirtySox DirtySox is offline
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Not that far-fetched.

I think either team could win the division, but I'm leaning Twins as well at this point in time.
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Old 01-28-2010, 02:58 PM
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Well, I don't necessarily disagree with the order. I think if everything goes right for us, we're an 88-90 win team, so 79 is probably close to what we should be (perhaps a little low).

Now, that's a lot lower a total than most experts predict for the Twins. Most people are picking them to win the division with 86-90 wins.
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  #5  
Old 01-28-2010, 02:59 PM
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Can we remove the "!!!" from the thread title?
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Old 01-28-2010, 02:59 PM
SI1020 SI1020 is offline
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So I guess they don't think the AL Central will be any good.
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Old 01-28-2010, 03:00 PM
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Can we remove the "!!!" from the thread title?
I don't see why not, they're picking us to gain a spot in the standing this year!!!

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Old 01-28-2010, 03:00 PM
SephClone89 SephClone89 is offline
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82 wins for the division title? Christ.
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Old 01-28-2010, 03:01 PM
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Okay, fasten your seatbelts, here we go!
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Old 01-28-2010, 03:01 PM
Craig Grebeck Craig Grebeck is offline
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Well, it goes without saying, but I feel it should be said anyway: this is PECOTA's take. BP's writers often disagree with PECOTA, and don't treat it as an infallible tool of forecasting.

The writers, I'm sure, feel differently. How much differently? I don't know. I've found PECOTA's projections are often pared to the mean so much that they become a little too subdued, and fail at projecting breakouts and forecasting peaks. I prefer Marcels or CHONE, in all honesty.
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Old 01-28-2010, 03:02 PM
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So I guess they don't think the AL Central will be any good.
Not necessarily. It could also mean it is a highly competitive division where the teams beat each up in intradivision games.
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Old 01-28-2010, 03:02 PM
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What did they predict for us last year?
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Old 01-28-2010, 03:04 PM
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Not necessarily. It could also mean it is a highly competitive division where the teams beat each up in intradivision games.
No, it means the Central sucks.
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Old 01-28-2010, 03:04 PM
Craig Grebeck Craig Grebeck is offline
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No, it means the Central sucks.
Yeah, 2006 was a good year for the Central, and nobody was winning that division with 82 wins.

For the record I think the division isn't so bad.
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Old 01-28-2010, 03:06 PM
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Long ago these threads were relegated to the WTS forum because it's pure speculation. I see no reason to change that policy now.

The fact I think they are so full of **** that the tips of their cowlicks have long since turned brown has nothing to do with this move... I swear... no... really...
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