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Old 10-10-2018, 10:50 AM
Frater Perdurabo Frater Perdurabo is offline
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Default A Modest Moncada Proposal: Learn to Foul Off Borderline Strikes

We all agree Yoan Moncada strikes out too much. We also know that he's among the league leaders in called strikeouts.

Those who hate stats other than the traditional numbers might want to skip ahead to the "old school" conclusion that the advance stats seem to support.

FanGraphs has some interesting metrics that can help up analyze the strengths and weaknesses in his hitting, particularly when compared to league averages:

Swinging strike percentage: 12.2% Moncada; 9.5% league average
Swing percentage: 41% Moncada; 46% league

Contact percentage in the strike zone: 80% Moncada; 87% league

Contact percentage outside the strike zone: 45% Moncada; 60% league
Swing percentage in the strike zone: 62% Moncada; 65% league
Swing percentage outside the strike zone: 22% Moncada; 30% league

As we can see, Moncada swings and misses more than the league average, particularly on pitches outside of the zone (which is bad), but he swings at pitches outside of the zone less than the league (which is good and points to his superior batting eye). In fact, he swings less often than most hitters - he's more selective, but more of that selectivity is on pitches outside of the zone.

This leads me to conclude Moncada does not need to work on his batting eye/selectivity, but he does need to make more contact on pitches in the strike zone.

Among other fixes Moncada could strive to make, I think he needs to develop and refine the skill to foul off "borderline" strikes when he has two strikes against him: those pitches that he's taking for called strikes now, likely because he doesn't think he can do much with them. Looking at the heatmaps, this could most benefit him as a left-handed batter with pitches up and inside, and as a right-handed batter anywhere at the top of the zone.

This would allow him to see more pitches, not get rung up on called strikes as often, and potentially see better pitches to hit.

The universe is the practical joke of the General at the expense of the Particular, quoth Frater Perdurabo, and laughed. The disciples nearest him wept, seeing the Universal Sorrow. Others laughed, seeing the Universal Joke. Others wept. Others laughed. Others wept because they couldn't see the Joke, and others laughed lest they should be thought not to see the Joke. But though FRATER laughed openly, he wept secretly; and really he neither laughed nor wept. Nor did he mean what he said.
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