Originally Posted by Tragg
I'd say you have it backwards - he has 75% chance to make it to the big leagues.
Now to be an effective big league regular is likely in the 25% category.
Still, Hawikins is the far more valuable prospect.
I think saying ANYONE has a 25% chance to be an effective MLB player is a huge compliment since, as has been noted, even 1st round picks have a near 90% rate of failure.