Originally Posted by blandman
It's the deception that causes it.
This is the big problem with taking data and analyzing it without understanding circumstance. You have a pitch that's effective, but his ability to control it at high velocity and good movement is not as effective as you would assume based on the Pitch f/x numbers, which are through the roof compared to what he's bringing. I'm not saying it's a bad thing, but it's not as good as the numbers indicate. And long-term it's not sustainable production...or at least it's usually not sustainable. Calling it a plus pitch isn't really true to what that actually means.
Fair enough, but tell me exactly what about him throwing his fastball is deceptive? He has a little hitch at the top of his windup, he's not hiding the ball like Dontrelle Willis. Is that why you seem to think that it's not sustainable production? All of the empirical evidence is still against your point.