Originally Posted by russ99
I don't know if this is a vast overpay like some claim.
He would have been the 2nd best starter FA after Price, and IMO, he'd get close to or more than that on the open market for staff ace reputation alone, despite the underlying numbers.
What on Earth are you basing that on? In 2012 his ERA+ (which accounts for ballparks and defense) was 88th out of 88 pitchers and in 2013 he was 77th out of 81 pitchers. His WAR was negative 2.3 in that span. At best he's a reclamation project, and that's if you think he'll gain back the over 4mph he lost on his fastball two years ago. Why not simply extend the qualifying offer? I doubt anyone offered him the $13 or so million it would take him to turn it down, and nothing about what's happening to him suggests he won't be just as bad in the future.