Coming into the 2005 season, Shingo seemed solid. In September 2005, he had five saves, a win and a loss and didn't have a blown save after August 7. In September 2005, in a Mets uniform, he didn't save any and blew two.
There are people who tell you with extreme hindsight that watching Shingo's stuff and not his stats, they could tell he wasn't going to last long as a closer. Looking at Reed's stuff, without the benefit of hindsight, I think he has better seasons as a closer in store for him. I don't see a loss in velocity. I don't see a loss in confidence. I do see that he is having control issues.