Originally Posted by TDog
Scherzer, barring some very bad stuff in September, will win it unanimously. He deserves to win. Sale isn't even close, but will probably get a few third-place votes, although that could depend on who is voting this year.
Sale is not a consistent winner, and it isn't only a matter of run support, although he hasn't gotten a lot of that. It's a matter of, in too many cases this season, at least for an elite pitcher, not making the big pitch when he needs to. If you're having a Cy Young season, you don't give up a grand slam after a walk to load the bases when your team has a 3-0 lead in the sixth inning at home. Sale has some impressive numbers, but he isn't winning all the games an elite pitcher should be winning.
I expect more out of Sale than I've seen this year. I hope he is getting the experience this year that will help him win more games in the future.
Scherzer has not been a better pitcher than Sale this year anymore than Sabathia was a better pitcher than Felix the year he won. Frankly, looking at wins as a primary consideration is a lazy approach to evaluating a pitcher's performance. As others have noted, a pitcher has less control over his won/loss record than virtually any other stat associated with pitching.
"I have the ultimate respect for White Sox fans. They were as miserable as the Cubs and Red Sox fans ever were but always had the good decency to keep it to themselves. And when they finally won the World Series, they celebrated without annoying every other fan in the country." Jim Caple, ESPN (January 12, 2011)
"We have now sunk to a depth at which the restatement of the (bleeding) obvious is the first duty of intelligent men." — George Orwell