Originally Posted by Brian26
Has it not been proven though that the difference between the 2nd pick and the 10th pick is really very small? This is not the NBA draft in terms of being able to forecast talent.
When teams draft based on bonus size? Yes.
But the top talent in the draft is almost always a better bet. It's just a lot of times it went to the Tigers, or the Red Sox, or the Yankees way down in the draft. For instance, after the top three in this years draft, there was a huge drop. Not in ceiling, but in probability. If you're asking scouts which guys are the best bet to be stars, those are the three names that come up.