Originally Posted by kittle42
Weather isn't played on paper, and there is no use to predicting it until the days are finished.
This is actually a fairly good analogy because like weather there are a LOT of complex factors that go into predicting baseball outcomes.
Now like that article that "fixed" the Sox results by figuring out where the extra wins are coming from (or at least suggesting a plausible statistical fix).
Question because I honestly don't know. Since all that was discussed in that "fix" article how accurate has Pecota been on the whole at this stuff? Sox W/L was off by 5% (or so) is the rest of the league more accurate?