Originally Posted by doublem23
PECOTA does not project wins and losses. It projects runs scored and runs allowed. I cannot for the life of me figure out which of those two sentences you guys cannot comprehend.
Which is, of course, why BP presents their projections in terms of wins and losses instead of just runs scored and runs allowed.
As has been continually noted by those, including me, who express ridicule of BP's consistently wrong guesses with regard to the Sox's record, that should not be taken as an indictment of BP as a whole. They seem to generally do exceptional work, but for whatever (not subjective, IMO) reasons, BP generally fails to properly evaluate the Sox before the season is played out, at least in its application of PECOTA.