Originally Posted by dickallen15
2012 PECOTA had 12teams projected correctly within 5 games, had 12 teams projections off by at least 10 (including the Sox who were at 10). There were 2 right on, and 5 missed by at least 16. The average the W-L were off in the AL was 8.86, and in the NL 8.06. Overall average off by 8.43 games.
It sparks a lot of debate, but good or bad for the team you are pulling for, it's really no more accurate in the end than the posts in the preseason prediction threads.
PECOTA does not project wins and losses. It projects runs scored and runs allowed. I cannot for the life of me figure out which of those two sentences you guys cannot comprehend.