Originally Posted by sullythered
But they're not, really. The individual projections are very relevant. They are worth paying attention too. It just doesn't work on the team level. It's a quirky little exercise that's there for fun, and nothing else. Again, individual projections can be used as a tool. I think even most of the people doing team projections would tell you that it's pretty meaningless. There are just way too many variables that can't be accounted for.
They're relevant in that they give a good idea about how a season should go. People scream about how off they are on the Sox, but 7 games is not a lot to be off if you understand the model. Then 2005 and a 19 game swing comes into play. But that's the exception there. A perfect storm of everything playing out perfectly for one season, aided by a weaker division.