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Old 02-14-2013, 11:20 AM
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doublem23 doublem23 is offline
Join Date: Jul 2001
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Originally Posted by voodoochile View Post
No I didn't say that, but there certainly are a group of people who buy into this stuff way more than it's worth. I mean the standard deviation is what 5-6 wins (from past years that is what I remember)? So basically they are saying that the Sox are a 99% confidence interval to win 59-95 games. Even if' it's 3 its 68-87. Way to go out on a limb there BP...
For what seems like the millionth time, PECOTA does. not. project. W-L.

Do they do a simple manipulation to convert their data to W-L? Kind of yes. But that is not what the formulas spit out.

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