Originally Posted by blandman
Do you have a basis for this or are you just using two outlying sox seasons as your basis for their body of work?
No, it's more that when you factor in their standard deviation once you get to 95% accuracy, it really doesn't tell you much.
Also the pitching staff is going to be better than it was last year, IMO. I would lay odds this team will be at or above .500 again.