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Originally Posted by Tragg
I'd say you have it backwards - he has 75% chance to make it to the big leagues.
Now to be an effective big league regular is likely in the 25% category.
Still, Hawikins is the far more valuable prospect.
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I think saying ANYONE has a 25% chance to be an effective MLB player is a huge compliment since, as has been noted, even 1st round picks have a near 90% rate of failure.