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Originally Posted by oeo
Obviously they change, but this is quite the drastic turn. He's gone from one extreme to the other. If their projections change that much from year to year, how can you trust it?
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Even with massive holes in his swing, if Flowers were to ever come anywhere near (.1-.125) his minor league OPS in the majors, he'd be a very good catcher. They aren't projections, they are evaluations.
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Besides the point, however, because this still doesn't answer my question. How much of these opinions come from actually seeing the player and how much come from just collecting opinions of scouts (there's never a number, just 'some' scouts, 'many' scouts, 'multiple' scouts) and drawing a conclusion?
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It depends on the talent evaluator, but I know that Goldstein watches tape and talks to a ton of scouts.