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View Full Version : Shelton already homers today (9)


lumpyspun
04-17-2006, 12:56 PM
I saw Cleveland was winning 7-1 and I was thinking, what are the chances Detroit's one run came in the form of a Shelton homer. Sure enough, he hit his 9th.

palehozenychicty
04-17-2006, 12:59 PM
Guess now MLB will start drawing up the HGH policy, since Shelton and Arroyo have more homers than Bonds....

MarySwiss
04-17-2006, 02:05 PM
I still think that--barring injury--Thome finishes with more HRs than Shelton. Konerko probably will too.

TheOldRoman
04-17-2006, 02:13 PM
I still think that--barring injury--Thome finishes with more HRs than Shelton. Konerko probably will too.
That won't be too hard seeing as Shelton won't finish with 30 homers.
I know he is on a hot streak that few have ever been on, but he is still Chris Shelton. He may be a good hitter, but he wont touch the league lead come August.

Dibbs
04-17-2006, 02:37 PM
I find it hard to believe this guy won't hit 30 homers this year.

Kuzman
04-17-2006, 03:14 PM
he would have to hit what 4 more a month to end up with 30? I'm sure he will hit 30 barring injury

Flight #24
04-17-2006, 03:14 PM
That won't be too hard seeing as Shelton won't finish with 30 homers.
I know he is on a hot streak that few have ever been on, but he is still Chris Shelton. He may be a good hitter, but he wont touch the league lead come August.

Chris Shelton hit 18HRs in 388 ABs last year, and hit .299 doing it. That happened to be the first year he saw significant time. His last 1.5 years in the minors (ignoringwhat appears to be an injury-shortened 2004), he batted .359(2003) &.331(2005) and slugged .641 (2003) & .569(2005).

Will he end the season hitting .479 with 70HRs? No. But his track record indicates that he's pretty likely to continue hitting very very well, along the lines of .300+ with around 35HR.

viagracat
04-17-2006, 03:15 PM
Guess now MLB will start drawing up the HGH policy, since Shelton and Arroyo have more homers than Bonds....

Arroyo probably won't face Glendon Rusch again this year, so he's done for the season...:rolling:

Jaffar
04-17-2006, 03:20 PM
I don't know if anyone has pointed this out yet but he only has 2 walks so pitchers are giving him pitches and are clearly not afraid of this guy. Should they be I guess is the question, I think not and as soon as they start going around him a little his production will drop off. For reference, Pujols and Thome have 13 bb's, Hafner has 10 and even Dunn has 9. These guys get pitched around and take advantage of the few times they get pitches, will "The Babe" do the same thing?

drewcifer
04-17-2006, 03:34 PM
I don't know if anyone has pointed this out yet but he only has 2 walks so pitchers are giving him pitches and are clearly not afraid of this guy. Should they be I guess is the question, I think not and as soon as they start going around him a little his production will drop off. For reference, Pujols and Thome have 13 bb's, Hafner has 10 and even Dunn has 9. These guys get pitched around and take advantage of the few times they get pitches, will "The Babe" do the same thing?
Well, he hits in the #6 spot and the fact that he's at 17 RBI (meaning he's driven in only 8 runners besides himself), they're likely to keep pitching at him. Andruw Jones, by contrast, has only 4 HRs at the same total.

But I agree he'll certainly fall off at some point. If Leyland moves him up to 3rd or 4th, that'd be the true test.

spiffie
04-17-2006, 03:36 PM
That won't be too hard seeing as Shelton won't finish with 30 homers.
I know he is on a hot streak that few have ever been on, but he is still Chris Shelton. He may be a good hitter, but he wont touch the league lead come August.
Please tell me you're the type who loves to put monetary wagers on things ;)

MrRoboto83
04-17-2006, 09:26 PM
Shelton could be pulling a Brady Anderson, having one season with a flukish power streak.

Frater Perdurabo
04-17-2006, 09:58 PM
Before any player becomes an "established" power threat, by definition they must have a "breakout" year. Of course, some players' breakout years are more eye-popping than others.

Mark McGwire hit 49 homers in his rookie year. For the first half of that 1987 season, it looked as if he might challenge Maris' record. McGwire didn't hit as many until 1996 (52), but ended up with 583 for his career (putting aside the steroid issue for the time being).

Cecil Fielder hit 51 in 1990 after not playing in 1989 and hitting only 9 in 1988. He had 319 for his career. No year was ever as good, but he still was a legitimate power threat for the next six seasons.

In his first full MLB season, A-Rod hit .358 with 36 homers. Talk about a "breakout!" He's never looked back since. As the #1 overall pick he was projected to be a very good player, but I don't think anyone thought he might have a chance to hit 800 career homers.

The point is that although sometimes guys are a "flash in the pan" like, say, Kevin Maas (21 homers in 79 games in 1990 made many people think he'd supplant Don Mattingly), other times big breakout seasons are pre-cursors of things to come. I'm not saying either will happen with Shelton, but I've learned enough to know that trying to make predictions based off two weeks or even one full season is anyone's guess.

D. TODD
04-17-2006, 10:16 PM
He looked dangerous at the plate last season for the Tigers. I'm glad I took him late in both of my fantasy drafts. I figured he was capable of hitting .300 with 25 homers. Looks like I may have underestimated his power numbers. I'm sure he will come back to earth, but he is a solid guy who will get his share of hits & homers throughout the year.

NonetheLoaiza
04-17-2006, 11:49 PM
I'd cast my vote to Shelton being there to stay. Same pace, probably not. But what he showed everyone last year, and what he is doing this year, he looks like he is going to be a good ballplayer for the Tigers.

gbergman
04-18-2006, 12:03 AM
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