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View Full Version : How long 'Til 500 for Frank?


wsbaseball9
06-18-2005, 02:53 PM
big frank is standing at 441 career homers, he's probably be at 500 already if he had decided to become a homerun hitter earlier in his career instead of a line drive hitter, even though his homers are usually liners anyway, but thats neither here nor there

how long do you think frank hits his 500th
i say about 2 1/2 more seasons give or take a little

your thoughts?

mike squires
06-18-2005, 03:02 PM
If he can stay healthy I don't have any reason to doubt he could do it by the end of next season if he can hit 20 this year. That's 40 next year. IT could be a stretch but who knows. If he doesn't hit it with the Sox I'll be :angry: :angry: :angry: .

MIgrenade
06-18-2005, 03:05 PM
If Frank is healthy and has regular playing time he can do it by the end of next year or early 2007. He has 441 now which, if he's healthy, should be at 465, maybe a couple less, by the end of the year. I realize that's asking a lot for a guy who doesn't play every day but I think he can hit 25 this year. If he gets to 465 then he's only 35 away from 500 which is possible for him in one season without injuries.
Since I don't think he will actually be healthy or get regular playing time he will probably come up to 460 this year, another 25 next year, then get 500 in 2007.
For his sake I hope he has a big year for the rest of this season because he needs to find a place to play everyday.

seanpmurphy
06-18-2005, 03:19 PM
10 games, 5 home runs. At that pace he'll be close by the end of this season!

Chisox003
06-18-2005, 03:22 PM
If he can stay healthy I don't have any reason to doubt he could do it by the end of next season if he can hit 20 this year. That's 40 next year. IT could be a stretch but who knows. If he doesn't hit it with the Sox I'll be :angry: :angry: :angry: .

20 this year, at this rate, could be reached by next week....

I bet if he stays healthy, he will hit 30 this year, which puts 500 on the map for 2006....IN a White Sox uniform, no doubt

Gotta stay healthy though

Sox of White
06-18-2005, 03:23 PM
At his current pace of hitting a five homersevery eight hits, he will break it easily next year. But, that is if he keeps up his amazing home run to hit ratio, which cannot be expected of normal humans. But then again, Frank is not normal...

Chicago83
06-18-2005, 04:12 PM
20 this year, at this rate, could be reached by next week....

I bet if he stays healthy, he will hit 30 this year, which puts 500 on the map for 2006....IN a White Sox uniform, no doubt

Gotta stay healthy though

30 this year? That would be some kind of magic. I highly doubt he gets 30 as he has never hit more than 40 in a full season. If he stays healthy this year I'd say we are looking at 20 HR with a .300 AVG.

PAPChiSox729
06-18-2005, 04:30 PM
30 this year? That would be some kind of magic. I highly doubt he gets 30 as he has never hit more than 40 in a full season. If he stays healthy this year I'd say we are looking at 20 HR with a .300 AVG.

Actually, he has hit more than 40 a few times in his career. His career high is 43 HRs and I think he hit 42 a few seasons ago.

delben91
06-18-2005, 04:33 PM
Put me down as saying September 2006 at the front end, May 2007 at the back.

Chicago83
06-18-2005, 05:20 PM
Actually, he has hit more than 40 a few times in his career. His career high is 43 HRs and I think he hit 42 a few seasons ago.

This is true, but still you get my point. Frank has never had any huge HR years and has never reached 45, so I don't think he has any chance of reaching 30 this year.

PAPChiSox729
06-18-2005, 06:08 PM
This is true, but still you get my point. Frank has never had any huge HR years and has never reached 45, so I don't think he has any chance of reaching 30 this year.

Yeah, 30 would be quite a stretch. I don't think that 25 is out of the question, though. I just want him to stay healthy.

doublem23
06-18-2005, 06:27 PM
At this rate, the end of the week. :tongue:

LongLiveFisk
06-18-2005, 06:43 PM
If he can stay healthy I don't have any reason to doubt he could do it by the end of next season if he can hit 20 this year. That's 40 next year. IT could be a stretch but who knows. If he doesn't hit it with the Sox I'll be :angry: :angry: :angry: .

I am guessing late 2006/early 2007....BUT I also agree that it better be in a White Sox uniform. Can you imagine how much it would suck to see him rounding the bases for his 500th wearing some other uniform? :mad:

MisterB
06-18-2005, 07:20 PM
This is true, but still you get my point. Frank has never had any huge HR years and has never reached 45, so I don't think he has any chance of reaching 30 this year.

Man, how ****ed up is baseball nowadays that 40+ homers isn't considered a 'huge' homerun year? :(:

lostletters
06-19-2005, 03:10 AM
Conservative estimate:
He will do it within the next three years.

Liberal Estimate:
Frank will hit 500 next year near the end of the season.

If Frank hits 19 more home runs this year, the liberal estimate can happen.
If Frank hits 9 more home runs this year, the conservative estimate comes into effect.

Basically we will see it happen. It should happen in a White Sox uniform.

mccombe_35
06-19-2005, 01:10 PM
This is true, but still you get my point. Frank has never had any huge HR years and has never reached 45, so I don't think he has any chance of reaching 30 this year.

How many HRs do you think he would have finished with in 1994 if there wasn't a strike? 38 HRs in 113 games - not too shabby! How many games are left this year?:smile:

Just being optimistic!:cool:

RKMeibalane
06-19-2005, 01:27 PM
How many HRs do you think he would have finished with in 1994 if there wasn't a strike? 38 HRs in 113 games - not too shabby! How many games are left this year?:smile:

Just being optimistic!:cool:

There is a web-site that simulated the remainder of the 1994 season, and Frank was projected to hit fifty two home runs. IIRC, the calcuations took into account the fact that the Sox eventually wrapped up the AL Central, and so Frank was given a few days off in September, which slowed his progress somewhat. Granted, we can't assume that Thomas would have ended up with that amount of home runs because the season wasn't completed, but if he had, then he would have 455 home runs by now.