BRDSR

04-17-2005, 07:43 PM

When the Sox went up 3-2 today on Everett's home run I got to thinking: the Sox have been leading at some point in every game this season. Obviously they led at the end of every win, they lead by 3 going into the ninth of the first Cleveland loss, the drew first blood in the loss to the Twins, they went up 5-4 in the fourth of the second loss to the Indians, and they led 3-2 today. Without doing the research, I bet few to no other teams in baseball can say this.

My question is this: How does this affect the assumption that teams have 60 given wins, 60 given losses, and 42 up in the air? So far I would only put the loss to the Twins in the "given losses" category. Obviously there will be more than 1 in 12, but what if we only have 40 given losses, 60 given wins, and 62 games up in the air in which we have a .600 winning percentage? That puts us at 96-97 wins. The way this team has played so far this season, I think this is a relatively accurate and possible scenario? Any thoughts?

My question is this: How does this affect the assumption that teams have 60 given wins, 60 given losses, and 42 up in the air? So far I would only put the loss to the Twins in the "given losses" category. Obviously there will be more than 1 in 12, but what if we only have 40 given losses, 60 given wins, and 62 games up in the air in which we have a .600 winning percentage? That puts us at 96-97 wins. The way this team has played so far this season, I think this is a relatively accurate and possible scenario? Any thoughts?