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View Full Version : Place your bets: How many Runs will the 2005 Sox score?


mweflen
02-10-2005, 04:28 PM
Here is a link to sortable 2004 team stats.

http://mlb.mlb.com/NASApp/mlb/mlb/stats/mlb_sortable_team_stats.jsp?statType=1&timeFrame=1&Submit=Submit&groupByTeam=true&sitSplit=&baseballScope=mlb&timeSubFrame=2004&&sortByStat=R

We see the Sox scored 865 runs - 3rd in the majors!

How many runs will they score this year? Predict and be rewarded in October with the adulation of your peers... :gulp:



btw: my prediction is 855.

MUsoxfan
02-10-2005, 04:30 PM
I'll go with 850

HebrewHammer
02-10-2005, 04:33 PM
How many does it take to get 90 wins? That's how many I think they'll get.

SOXintheBURGH
02-10-2005, 04:34 PM
837 runs scored.

150 of those batted in by Crash.

MUsoxfan
02-10-2005, 04:44 PM
837 runs scored.

150 of those batted in by Crash.

I like:

150 of those batted in by Crash

mweflen
02-10-2005, 05:19 PM
just 100 RBI by ARow would be a nice start.

T-Bone
02-10-2005, 05:32 PM
840 sounds good.

mweflen
02-11-2005, 10:20 AM
side question - how many men will we have with more than 100 RBI? i say just one, Konerko.

Cubsuck_a_lot
02-11-2005, 05:51 PM
side question - how many men will we have with more than 100 RBI? i say just one, Konerko.

Rowand could have an ever bigger breakout year and i wouldnt be suprised to see him hit +100 rbi.

mweflen
02-11-2005, 05:55 PM
I see Rowand driving in about 85-95. Of course I don't think 100 is out of the question. We can only hope!

Nick@Nite
02-11-2005, 07:16 PM
I'll say that the Sox go back to back with 865. Besides, the Sox scored the 3rd highest in the AL last year with Maggs & Hurt both playing half seasons. I'm thinking (hoping) that the retooled Sox will replace what was lost.

Looking at the team's line, 2005 should see a spike in SB's (Pods & Tadahito), and a nice trend downward in SO's due to the departure of Manos combined with an increased emphasis on making contact and putting the ball in play--Ozzie Ball.

I'm starting to sound like Miss Cleo~

Mohoney
02-12-2005, 01:24 AM
912 runs scored, and 2 100 RBI performers in Konerko and Dye.

guillen4life13
02-12-2005, 01:37 AM
I'm starting to sound like Miss Cleo~

I was tinkin' de exact same ting.

Spicoli
02-12-2005, 07:11 AM
I think we will score less runs; butI also think we will allow fewer runs too.

paciorek1983
02-12-2005, 09:45 AM
To me it matters when they score, not how many----timely hitting!! You only need to score one more than your opponent to win.:redneck

mweflen
02-12-2005, 04:55 PM
912 runs scored, and 2 100 RBI performers in Konerko and Dye.

you heard it here first, folks! that's a lot of additional RBI to spread around between 8 other players (including Frank). What do you think the breakdown will be?

If Konerko clubs 110 and Dye 100 (charitable), that means 702 for the rest of the lineup.

Pods should get about 40 max as a leadoff man. 662.
Can we expect 50 out of Gucci? 612.
Frank may club 70 in limited AB. 542
Rowand? 90 seems like a good optimistic guess. 452.
Pierzynski seems good for 80. 372
Uribe good for 70? 302
Crede good for 70? 232.
Crazy Carl might get 60. 172 to go.

So 172 to spread between the bench players, being:
Wee Willie (excuse me while I hold my breath for Willie to morph into an RBI machine - 20 tops),
Timo (maybe 40?),
Gload (40?), and
Davis (20),
which leaves 52 to go. Personally, I doubt we'll see 912.

Whaddaya know - the totals above equal 860 runs. Just about what I predicted! :D:

SOXSINCE'70
02-12-2005, 05:05 PM
If they score enough runs to finish ahead of the Twinkies,
Tribe,toothless Tigers (Gaggs or no Gaggs) and Royals,
we'll all be happy.:D: :D: :D:

PAPChiSox729
02-12-2005, 07:52 PM
I think that 830 to 850 is a pretty conservative prediction. Sure we've lost some power, but will a more balanced lineup and a better pitching staff, I think that we will win more games next year even if we don't score 850 runs.

Mohoney
02-13-2005, 03:13 AM
you heard it here first, folks! that's a lot of additional RBI to spread around between 8 other players (including Frank). What do you think the breakdown will be?

If Konerko clubs 110 and Dye 100 (charitable), that means 702 for the rest of the lineup.

Pods should get about 40 max as a leadoff man. 662.
Can we expect 50 out of Gucci? 612.
Frank may club 70 in limited AB. 542
Rowand? 90 seems like a good optimistic guess. 452.
Pierzynski seems good for 80. 372
Uribe good for 70? 302
Crede good for 70? 232.
Crazy Carl might get 60. 172 to go.


So 172 to spread between the bench players, being:
Wee Willie (excuse me while I hold my breath for Willie to morph into an RBI machine - 20 tops),
Timo (maybe 40?),
Gload (40?), and
Davis (20),
which leaves 52 to go. Personally, I doubt we'll see 912.

Whaddaya know - the totals above equal 860 runs. Just about what I predicted! :D:

I'll go with 125 for Konerko, 110 for Dye, 25 for Davis, keep everybody else the same, and shave your total of 52 down to about 22, which will easily be made up for via errors, wild pitches, passed balls, and double play balls.

Not every run scored will equate to an RBI for somebody. We scored 865 last year and only had 823 team RBI. Over the course of a 162 game season, I think 22 runs not batted in is pretty much a cinch. Every additional run over 22 scored in this way hedges my prediction in case somebody falls short in my RBI predictions.

I honestly think that this team is going to score on a more consistent basis than last year, to the tune of over 900 runs.

mweflen
02-14-2005, 06:08 PM
I'll go with 125 for Konerko, 110 for Dye, 25 for Davis, keep everybody else the same, and shave your total of 52 down to about 22, which will easily be made up for via errors, wild pitches, passed balls, and double play balls.

Not every run scored will equate to an RBI for somebody. We scored 865 last year and only had 823 team RBI. Over the course of a 162 game season, I think 22 runs not batted in is pretty much a cinch. Every additional run over 22 scored in this way hedges my prediction in case somebody falls short in my RBI predictions.

I honestly think that this team is going to score on a more consistent basis than last year, to the tune of over 900 runs.

You're right about non-RBI runs. But 110 for Dye? (Where did deep pink go, by the way?) Even if you add some park factor, he hasn't broken 100 since 2001. I mean, I hope he does it, but the recent numbers don't bode well.

PAPChiSox729
02-14-2005, 08:41 PM
You're right about non-RBI runs. But 110 for Dye? (Where did deep pink go, by the way?) Even if you add some park factor, he hasn't broken 100 since 2001. I mean, I hope he does it, but the recent numbers don't bode well.

I agree. 110 for Dye is being a little generous. 100+ RBI seasons are harder to come by then many people think. Dye is a good hitter. But he isn't an offensive powerhouse (this is why I think that he shouldn't be batting third). I think 85-95 RBI is a little more realistic.

Paid Santiago
02-14-2005, 11:12 PM
650 runs

Mohoney
02-15-2005, 02:51 AM
I agree. 110 for Dye is being a little generous. 100+ RBI seasons are harder to come by then many people think. Dye is a good hitter. But he isn't an offensive powerhouse (this is why I think that he shouldn't be batting third). I think 85-95 RBI is a little more realistic.

One of the reasons I have 110 for Dye is because he will be batting 3rd until Frank comes back. I don't know why, and past numbers certainly don't back me up, but I see this guy having a huge offensive season for us, with plenty of RBI opportunities with those two speedsters batting in front of him.

I see the guy hitting 30+ homers, 30+ doubles, slugging over .500, and increasing the 80 RBI he had last year to about 110.