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SoxxoS
07-20-2004, 02:54 PM
From ESPN Insider:
http://proxy.espn.go.com/mlb/columns/story?columnist=neyer_rob&id=1842581

Question: Of the five American League Central teams, which two have allowed more runs than they've scored?
Answer: Yes, the Royals have been outscored, and by quite a lot: 90 runs, to be precise. You might be surprised at the identity of the two teams, though (especially if you're not a faithful reader of this column). The Indians? They're +2 (504 scored, 502 allowed). The Tigers? Amazingly enough, they're +16 (482 scored, 466 allowed).

So who does that leave? Yes, the defending AL Central champions. The Twins have been outscored by five runs.


Does this mean the Twins aren't as good as the Indians and Tigers? Not necessarily. The Twins' three best hitters might be Justin Morneau (http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/players/profile?statsId=7063), Joe Mauer (http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/players/profile?statsId=7062) and Shannon Stewart (http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/players/profile?statsId=5509), and none of those three have been in the lineup all season, due to either injuries or management's stupidity (in the case of Morneau). My guess is that the Twins will finish with the second-best run differential in the division (they're not going to catch the White Sox), and that they'll be in race for the rest of the summer (thanks in part to Frank Thomas (http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/players/profile?statsId=4527)' injury. But the Twins are not a particularly good team.

kojak
07-20-2004, 03:05 PM
IMHO, Neyer has a brilliant baseball mind. Can't say that about a lot of those doods over at "The Ocho"...

npdempse
07-20-2004, 03:40 PM
IMHO, Neyer has a brilliant baseball mind. Can't say that about a lot of those doods over at "The Ocho"...
I dunno. Of all the followers of James, you hear some of the dumbest things coming from Neyer. I can't imagine James is in favor of using run differentials to rank teams. It's quite possible that a team will find itself getting blown out when they lose, letting their scrub pitchers get shelled rather than using the good arms, and win most of their wins by relatively close margins. Is there anything that points to run differential having any predictive power on pennants?