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View Full Version : Predictions on a Pujols extension?


soxfanreggie
11-04-2010, 10:23 PM
What does everyone think he'll get?

http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=5764918

It will be interesting to see if the Cards tear up the $16 million deal for 2011 or if they will just build on top of it. He could be baseball's next $30 million-a-season man, or he could take a little bit less to help the Cards attract some other pieces to the puzzle.

ewokpelts
11-05-2010, 10:03 AM
they giv ehim the option year, and then work toward a 20 plus a year deal.

TheOldRoman
11-05-2010, 10:38 AM
they giv ehim the option year, and then work toward a 20 plus a year deal.No way. He is getting at least $30 million a year. There is absolutely no way the Cardinals can afford to lose Pujols.

Sam Spade
11-05-2010, 10:39 AM
My prediction: $30 mil a year for about 5-6 years. Even that might be low in years.

ewokpelts
11-05-2010, 12:53 PM
No way. He is getting at least $30 million a year. There is absolutely no way the Cardinals can afford to lose Pujols.years or money. i think he can get 10 years at 20-24 a year. but if he wants 30 plus, it'll be less years. either way, 2011 is 16 mil.

twentywontowin
11-05-2010, 01:50 PM
5 years, $140 million.

$26M in 2011, increasing $1M per year up to $30M.

palehozenychicty
11-05-2010, 06:53 PM
He has to get more than Rodriguez per year. He's better.

Zisk77
11-05-2010, 08:08 PM
20 ml a year, the gateway arch (but the city still has to restore it), and The most ostensibly St,louis Icon will now be known as Anheuser - Pujhols. Ozzie Smith will do back flips at the signing ceremony.

tm1119
11-05-2010, 11:47 PM
Tex got 22.5 per year and Howard got 25 per year. In reality based on that Pujols is worth about 35 mil based on the fact that he is head and shoulders above both of them. Thats clearly not reasonable, but Im sure his agent will ask for at least 26 mil based on the fact that he should be the highest payed player. Its just a matter of what kind of person Pujols is and what kind of discount he will be willing to take.

Foulke You
11-06-2010, 04:24 PM
Joe Mauer got 8 years $184 million ($23 million per) so I'd imagine Pujols will get something similar in length but maybe in the $200-$240 million range ($25-$29 million per). Must be nice to be a top hitter in pro baseball, lol. It's possible that Pujols takes something like Mauer's deal with the promise from ownership that the rest of the money will be spent on improving the team. Pujols has said he wants to win and if he looks to break the free agent bank, it could cripple a mid market team like the Cardinals from competing. I realize Pujols is a beast but $30 million can buy you several good players on the free agent market.

Here is a side discussion to this thread. Would you be happy if Kenny Williams signed Pujols for 8 years at $30 million per year knowing that our team payroll would stay in the $100 million range? I'm not saying there is a right or wrong answer to this question, just wondering what everyone thinks about breaking the bank for one player. It didn't work in Texas with A-Rod. However, Pujols might be good enough to win the weak NL Central by himself.

windycityson
11-07-2010, 06:11 AM
ONE BILLION DOLLARS!!!!:Rocker:

soxfanreggie
11-08-2010, 11:48 AM
Part of what has to be looked at is what teams can afford and what teams have openings. I'm not sure if the usual "high bidders" will have the open position or capital to sign him without making a big move to free up the space. The Yankees - the team most likely to pay someone like him $30 million or more - don't really have the space for him right now, and they are focused on giving Cliff Lee a $150 million+ contract anyway. The Red Sox would love him, but don't have the open space with Ortiz and Youkilis already there.

Besides the Angels, I don't see the Cards as having huge competition that will drive his price to an A-Rod level. I will say though, the total value of the deal could increase a million or more a season if he's going to stay in 2011 at $16 million a year. His negotiating point could include, "Hey, you're making me play for $16 million next year, and I'm worth more than that. You're going to have to show me more later to make up for what I perceive as far less than I'm worth."

That doesn't mean a darkhorse won't come out and try to make a play for him, but I think Albert will be very selective. He doesn't really need $30 million a year as compared to $28 million a year, so I think being on a competitive team will hold a lot of weight for him.

This could be completely off for the Card's offer, but I'll guess:
2011-2012 $22 million
2013-2016 $28 million
2017-2018 $30 million

8 years, $216 million. They tear up 2011 because he was willing to have a few "cheaper" years and give them the advantage of the time value of money. The deal won't eclipse A-Rod's current 10-year, $275 million deal due to a less competitive market.

Maybe the Angels offer that amount and then another $30-32 million a year for 2019-2020, but he would be 40 in 2020, and that would be a big risk.

Dub25
11-14-2010, 12:23 AM
I said it to my Card fan friends already. I think the Holliday deal killed any chance of bringing Albert back. It seems the new owners are kind of cheap and they put their eggs in a basket with Holliday to get a World Series.