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View Full Version : If all AL contenders play their home and away percentages out


captainclutch24
08-22-2008, 03:58 AM
The standings will look like this
AL East
Tampa 99-63
Boston 94-68

AL Central
Chicago 94-68
Minnesota 92-70

AL West
Anaheim 99-63

Anaheim was 3-6 versus Tampa this year so I believe that would give the Rays homefield advantage throughout the playoffs setting up first round matchups of

Tampa v. Chicago
Anaheim v. Boston

I would like to not see Boston in, but I like our chances better in a 5 game set versus tampa and a 7 game set versus anaheim or boston, rather than having to possibly play the Angels in a 5 game set if the Twins make it and the Rays end up with the best record in the AL. If the Angels do finish first in the AL, then hopefully we win the division and the twins take the wild card.

fusillirob1983
08-22-2008, 12:30 PM
My main concern is a dome team having home-field advantage against the Sox.

eastchicagosoxfan
08-22-2008, 01:15 PM
I think the Sox can still win the most games in the AL. They have a chance to make some hay this weekend against the Rays. The Angels may let up a bit. A 15 game lead can do that.

oeo
08-22-2008, 01:19 PM
My main concern is a dome team having home-field advantage against the Sox.

The playoffs are a whole new game. Throw everything out because anything can happen.

gn2727
08-22-2008, 01:53 PM
That looks eerily similar to what I have in my sig with regards to wins for the season..........

voodoochile
08-22-2008, 02:02 PM
I think the Sox can still win the most games in the AL. They have a chance to make some hay this weekend against the Rays. The Angels may let up a bit. A 15 game lead can do that.

I think the Angels are going to have the best record by a wide margin. They simply have an easier schedule than anyone else.

mantis1212
08-22-2008, 02:06 PM
My main concern is a dome team having home-field advantage against the Sox.

We used to think the same way about going to the West Coast until 2005

hellview
08-22-2008, 02:31 PM
According to our friends at ESPN--percentages for Divsion Championship and Wildcard:

Tampa 70.8% Div. 20.1% WC 91.0% Playoffs
Boston 27.9% Div 43.7% WC 71.6% Playoffs
WSox 55.9% Div 14.0% WC 69.9% Playoffs
Twins 44.0% Div 16.1% WC 60.1% Playoffs
Angels 99.9% Div 0.1% WC 99.9% Playoffs

The Twins still are the unlikeliest to make the playoffs, but are better than a 50-50 bet. If they take care of business and get to the mid-90s in wins, it is pretty likely that one of the other contenders will drop back. I believe the bar now has to be at least 93 wins to get to the playoffs. This would require a good but not great 20-15 record in their final 35 games, 23 of which are on the road. Gee, it is fun to not even include the Yankees in the discussion.

eastchicagosoxfan
08-22-2008, 05:02 PM
I think the Angels are going to have the best record by a wide margin. They simply have an easier schedule than anyone else.
I'm sure we both hope your wrong. The Sox haven't put it all together yet this season. Who knows, they may not either. I think the Angels peaked in July. So far in August, they're a .500 team. If the Sox take care of business against Tampa Bay, they can put some serious pressure on the Angels.

Madscout
08-22-2008, 11:58 PM
The standings will look like this
AL East
Tampa 99-63
Boston 94-68

AL Central
Chicago 94-68
Minnesota 92-70

AL West
Anaheim 99-63

Anaheim was 3-6 versus Tampa this year so I believe that would give the Rays homefield advantage throughout the playoffs setting up first round matchups of

Tampa v. Chicago
Anaheim v. Boston

I would like to not see Boston in, but I like our chances better in a 5 game set versus tampa and a 7 game set versus anaheim or boston, rather than having to possibly play the Angels in a 5 game set if the Twins make it and the Rays end up with the best record in the AL. If the Angels do finish first in the AL, then hopefully we win the division and the twins take the wild card.
Wouldn't it be this instead...

Tampa v. Boston
Anaheim v. Chicago or can you not play your division rival in the ds?

Hitmen77
08-23-2008, 12:00 AM
Wouldn't it be this instead...

Tampa v. Boston
Anaheim v. Chicago or can you not play your division rival in the ds?

You cannot.

Madscout
08-23-2008, 12:52 AM
You cannot.
Kinda sucks that way, but I guess they made it that way so that there is a greater chance of some big CS div rival games, particularly for teams out east.